Saturday, 2 June 2012

Pick #3: Russia stage of elimination - 1/4 finals

This is a bet about the progress of Russia at the EURO. As of now, the odds are as follows:


Russia - stage of elimination

Coefficients
The stage when team is eliminated from the competition (Sportingbet)
Group stage
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Final
Champions

Russia are clear favourites in Group A and yesterday's friendlies were yet another confirmation - Russia triumphed over Italy by 3-0, while group rivals Czech Rep. lost 1-2 at home to Hungary. Poland and Greece are also below the class of the Russian team and shouldn't be an obstacle for Russia to qualify from the group.

The question is how far could the Russians go? If they qualify, they will face either the first or the second team from Group B, meaning Germany, the Netherlands or Portugal. Chances are that any of these teams would be too much for Russia. Dick Advocaat's men will of course have their chances but the price for Russian elimination at the 1/4 finals of 2.50 (sportingbet) is more than suitable for the risk taken.

 The drop of form of Russia's best player - Anderi Arshavin is signified by the fact that he couldn't keep his spot at Arsenal and had to go for a loan in his previous team Zenit St. Petersburg.

I would expect Russia to qualify comfortably from the group (probably with two wins and a draw) but then face a classy opponent (most probably the Netherlands or Portugal) which would prove to be too much for them. 2.50 is quite a reasonable price for that scenario so I'm taking it gladly.

bet #3
Russia - Stage of elimination
Pick: Quarterfinals
Odds: 2.50
Stake: 4 units
bookmaker: Sportingbet 


Good luck!

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